From the Campaign Trail

posted Aug 27

Last night I was an honored guest of the Novato Islamic Center at their Friday prayer and family potluck dinner.  I spoke about our country’s fundamental commitments to religious freedom, civil rights and immigration, which are being tested in some ugly ways in this year’s presidential campaign and answered a range of questions.  I’m grateful for the warmth and hospitality I received from this multi-generational group, in addition to the great food!  I assured them that I, and the constituents I represent, do not want them to fear discrimination or harassment because of their religion—and that we should work together to educate those who, out of ignorance, fear those who practice Islam.

posted Aug 25

A leading nonpartisan analyst, Larry Sabato (Sabato’s Crystal Ball), just published an article predicting Democrats will retake the House majority this fall, and explaining the forecasting model that points in this direction.  No one should relax or rest on their laurels, but hopefully this begins to dispel the conventional wisdom that the House won’t be in play until after the next redistricting.  Democrats take heart (and get to work)!

We are pleased to feature the work of the many top political scientists who have built these models, both in an attempt to predict the outcome of the election and, more importantly, to identify the factors that actually affect presidential and congressional races. Below, Campbell lays out the detail…

posted Aug 25

Now this is interesting!

Campaign Updates

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